Elsevier

Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health

Volume 9, January–March 2021, Pages 202-203
Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health

Is BCG associated with reduced incidence of COVID-19? A meta-regression of global data from 160 countries

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cegh.2020.08.015Get rights and content
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open access

Abstract

Background

Global research is running towards to find a vaccine to stop the threat of the COVID-19. The Bacillus Calmette–Guérin (BCG) vaccine that prevents severe forms of tuberculosis is getting more attention in this scenario. The objective of our study was to determine the association between BCG vaccine coverage and incidence of COVID-19 at a national-level across the Globe.

Methods

The data of 160 countries were included in the study. Meta-regression was done to estimate the difference in the incidence of COVID-19 cases between countries with BCG vaccination coverage. BCG coverage was categorized as ≤70%, >70% and no vaccination. The analyses were carried out by adjusting for factors such as population density, income group, latitude, and percentage of the total population under age groups 15–64 and above 65 years of each country.

Results

The countries that had ≤70% coverage of BCG vaccine reported 6.5 (95% CI: −8.4 to −4.5) less COVID-19 infections per 10,000 population as compared to countries that reported no coverage. Those that had >70% coverage reported 10.1 (95% CI: −11.4 to −8.7) less infections per 10,000 population compared to those with no BCG countries.

Conclusion

Our analysis suggests that BCG is associated with reduced COVID-19 infections if the BCG vaccine coverage is over 70%. The region-wise analyses also suggested similar findings, except the Middle East and North African region.

Keywords

BCG Vaccine
COVID-19
Global burden of COVID-19
Meta-regression
Pandemic

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